Liberals, Conservatives tied in Burlington North-Oakville

| Filed under: National

Conservative, Federal votes split

TORONTO MAY 13th, 2014 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 530 voters in the new federal riding of Burlington North-Oakville, where there has been controversy over MP Eve Adams' attempt to become the next Conservative nominee, the Liberals (45%) and Conservatives (42%) are basically tied in their voting preferences if the election were held today. In this situation, the NDP does not compete (8%), nor do the Greens (3%) or any other party (2%). Of note, one fifth of past Conservative voters will vote Liberal this time around (19%).

Trudeau has highest favourables

Close to one half of voters in the riding approve of Justin Trudeau (47%), but opinion is polarized, and his net favourable (approve minus disapprove) is +8. Four-in-ten approve of the Prime Minister (39%), but his net is a troubling -13. Tom Mulcair draws approval from a similar proportion (37%), but his net is a positive +4.

As it turns out, Eve Adams may be in over her head in Burlington North-Oakville, which may actually be a harder riding to win than her previous, now dismembered riding of Mississauga-Brampton South. It appears the siren call of Justin Trudeau is even heard in the 905 bedroom communities the Conservative used to consider their own," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) 960-9603.