CAQ Likely to Win Majority

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CC image courtesy of Hôtel du Parlement du Québec

CAQ Likely to Win Majority

Toronto, Oct 2nd, 2022 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 981 Quebec voters 18 or older who are decided or leaning, 36.8% say they would vote for Coalition Avenir Quebec (CAQ) if the provincial election election were held today. Parti Quebecois (PQ) would come in second with 17.2% followed closely by Liberal (PLQ) with 15.4%.

Respondents most likely to say they would vote for CAQ include those aged 65+ (50%) and 55 to 64 (43%), as well as females (41%).

Likelihood to Vote & Previous Election

Among 1021 Quebec respondents, 791 said they were absolutely certain they would vote, barring an unforeseen emergency (78%). 91 had already voted (9%).

887 of the 1021 respondents voted in the previous election (87%) while 134 (13%) did not. Of the 887 who voted, 409 (46%) supported the CAQ.


The Forum Poll™ was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 1021 randomly selected Canadians within Quebec. The poll was conducted on October 2nd, 2022.

Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of 20, measured as the average deviation across al response categories. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such as age, gender) results are available at

Where appropriate, data has been statistically weighted by age, region and other variables to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest Census data.

This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather, captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities. Forum houses its poll results in the Data Library of the Department of Political Science at the University of Toronto.

With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian-owned, Forum Research is one of the country's leading survey research firms. This Forum Poll™ and other polls may be found at Forum's poll archive at

Forum Research follows the CRIC Public Opinion Research Standards and Disclosure Requirements that can be found here: