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Unaware of NDP Leadership Race
More than seven in ten do not know who
could win an election
Toronto, September 21st
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ amongst
1350 Canadian voters, almost half (48%) say they are not at all closely
following the NDP Leadership campaign, while almost one-sixth (14%) say they
did not know that the Federal NDP were having a leadership race.
More than a quarter
(28%) say that they are following the race somewhat closely, while few (5%) say
they are following it very closely.
One in twenty (5%)
say they are following the race as closely as possible.
Of those that
identify themselves as NDP supporters, (7%) say they are following the race as
closely as possible, while (6%) say they are following it very closely.
More than two thirds
of NDP supporters (39%) say they are following the race somewhat closely, while
four in ten (40%) say they are not following the race closely at all.
Just under one in
ten (9%) NDP supporters say they didn’t know a leadership race was occurring.
Few think any of the candidates could
become Prime Minister
More than seven in ten (72%) say they do not know which
of the NDP leadership candidates is most likely to become Prime Minister.
Jagmeet Singh (11%) leads the field of candidates,
followed by Charlie Angus (7%), Guy Caron (6%), and Niki Ashton (4%), who are all
statistically tied for second.
Of those respondents that say they are supporting the
NDP, Singh is the favourite with just under two in ten (19%) saying he is most
likely to become Prime Minister.
Second, is Charlie Angus with one-sixth (15%), with Guy
Caron (8%) and Niki Ashton (4%) well behind.
More than half (54%) of NDP supporters say they do not
know which of the candidates is most likely to become Prime Minister.
Jagmeet Singh leads amongst NDP
that say they are supporting the NDP, two in ten (20%) say they are most likely
to vote for Singh in a general election, with Niki Ashton (16%) and Charlie
Angus (13%) statistically tied for second.
Fewer than one in
ten (8%) NDP supporters say they are most likely to vote for Charlie Angus.
More than four in
ten (42%) NDP supporters say they do not know which of the candidates they
would be most likely to vote for in a general election.
Amongst the general
public, more than two-thirds (68%) say they do not know which of the leadership
candidates they would vote for in a general election.
“For a party that
believes in its chances to be a dominant force at the Federal level, one-sixth
of Canadians not knowing that the NDP are having a leadership race should be a
significant concern,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “But
right now, Jagmeet Singh leads amongst those that say they are NDP supporters, and
while not all of them may be eligible to vote for him in the leadership race,
it’s still a solid foundation of support to build a campaign on.”
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
firstname.lastname@example.org or at (416) 960-9603.