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PC Lead Holds Steady
11th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum
Poll™ among 658 Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, just under 4
in 10 (38%) say they would support the Progressive Conservatives, while just
under a third (30%) say they would support the Liberals.
Almost a quarter (23%)
say they would support the NDP, while almost one in ten (8%) say they would
support the Green Party, with (2%) saying they would support another party.
likely to support the PCs include those aged 55-64 (51%), males (43%), earning
$80,000$100,000 (62%), with a college/university (41%) or post-graduate degree
(41%), those that drive to work or school (46%), living in North York (46%) or
York (48%), and supporting Doug Ford (59%) over John Tory for mayor.
likely to support the Liberals include those 65+ (38%), the least wealthy (40%)
or earning $20,000-$40,000 (41%), the least educated (37%), taking public
transit to work or school (37%), living in East York (36%), and supporting John
Tory (35%) over Doug Ford for mayor.
likely to support the NDP include those aged 34 and younger (31%), earning
$40,000-$60,000 (36%), with some college/university (32%), and living in East
York (28%) or Scarborough (28%).
Conservative support remains solid in Toronto, with the Liberals and the NDP
both well behind,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “A
strong NDP hurts the governing Liberals almost as much as a big PC lead, since
the Liberals can’t afford to bleed votes to the left and right, and still win
three-way races in the city.”
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
firstname.lastname@example.org or at (416) 960-9603.