PCs Overtake Liberals in Toronto

| Filed under: Ontario, Toronto

PCs Overtake Liberals in Toronto

Could spell big trouble for Wynne

Toronto, March 14th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 966 Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, the PCs (36%) have extended a five-point lead over the governing Liberals (31%). The PC lead is up four percent since February (1% lead over Liberals on Feb. 10). The NDP are unchanged at (22%), as are the Green (7%), but the collective “other parties” is up to (4%) (2%: Feb. 10).

Those most likely to support the PCs include those aged 45-54 (44%), 55-64 (41%), males (40%), the most wealthy (39%), with some college or university (43%), and who drive to work/school (45%). The majority of those supporting Doug Ford for Toronto Mayor also support the PCs (58%).

Those most likely to support the Liberals include those 65+ (43%), earning $80,000-$100,000 (40%), taking public transit to work/school (36%), and those supporting John Tory for Mayor (44%).

Looking at each party’s support divided amongst the former city of Toronto municipalities we see the following community breakdowns*


“The Progressive Conservatives finally see daylight between themselves and the Liberals in Toronto, as they’re leading in three of the six communities, and tied in another. In the two communities where the Liberals lead, the NDP is in the mix, which could lead to trouble for the Liberals if they suffer vote splitting that dilutes their support and potentially costs them seats,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.


*smaller samples will be less accurate, numbers may not add up to 100 because of rounding