Saskatchewan Party with 24 point lead over NDP

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Saskatchewan Party with 24 point lead over NDP

Support highest among youngest

TORONTO March 8th - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 904 Saskatchewan voters, close to 6-in-10 will vote for the Saskatchewan party in the upcoming provincial election (57%), while one third will vote NDP (33%). The Liberals (7%) and the Greens (3%) do not contend.

Support for the Saskatchewan party is typical of the youngest (63%), males (61%) rather than females (53%), among the wealthy ($80K to $100K - 68%), in rural north and south Saskatchewan (61% and 64%, respectively) rather than in Regina (52%) or Saskatoon (50%), among the parents of children under 18 (62%) and among the least educated (62%).

Saskatchewan Party supermajority seen

If these results are projected up to seats in the 61 seat legislature, the Saskatchewan Party would claim 52, or 85% of the seats, to 9 seats for the NDP.

Wall matches his party’s popularity, Broten underperforms

Premier Brad Wall has the approval of close to 6-in-10 voters (58%), almost the same as the level of electoral support his party receives. His net favourability (approve minus disapprove) is a very positive +25. Cam Broten has the approval of just more than a quarter of voters (28%), less than his party’s voter preference, and his net score is a negative -11.

Wall clearly seen as best Premier

More than one half of voters see Brad Wall as making the best Premier (55%), compared to about half this proportion who select Cam Broten (19%). Once again, Wall performs as strongly as his party on this measure, while Broten underperforms his party.

Close to half agree with provincially-owned plane

Close to one half of voters agree that the Premier and cabinet should have access to a private plane for provincial business (47%), while just fewer disagree they should have this perq (40%). About one tenth have no opinion (13%). The idea of the plane is most popular among the mid aged (45 to 54 - 54%), males (57%) rather than females (37%), among the wealthiest (60%) and in Regina (53%).

It is not surprising in the least to see Premier Wall in such a commanding position a month before the election. He is known as Canada’s most popular provincial premier, and he matches his party’s appeal personally. Cam Broten, on the other hand, does not appear to be able to rise to even his party’s limited appeal in the province," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) 960-9603.