Trudeau’s approval remains high
Supermajority in House if election held
December 9th, 2015 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by
the Forum Poll™ among 1369 Canadian voters, close to half would vote for the
Liberals if an election were held today (46%), stable from last month (November
18 - 45%), while the Conservatives would receive a third of the vote total
(32%), down from last month (37%). The NDP would receive the support of just
more than one tenth (13%), which is a slight improvement over last month
(November 18 - 10%). Few will vote Green or Bloc Quebecois (4% each).
Election today would see supermajority
these results are projected up to seats in the House of Commons, the Liberals
would capture a dominating share of 224 seats, to 99 for the Conservatives,
just 14 for the NDP and 1 seat for the Greens (the leader’s).
Trudeau’s approval up 6 points,
Mulcair’s up 7
to 6-in-10 voters approve of the job Justin Trudeau is doing as Prime Minister
(57%), up from one half last month (November 18 - 51%), and his net favourable
rating (approve minus disapprove) is a very positive +28. Tom Mulcair has also
seen his approval rate increase, from one third last month (34%) to 4-in-10 now
(41%). His net score is a relatively positive +10. One half of voters don’t
know enough about Rona Ambrose to rate her performance (47%), but one quarter
see her in a positive light (26%) and her net score is a neutral 0.
“The honeymoon isn’t showing any signs of
ending soon, and his approval ratings are improving, not falling. And this is
in the face of numerous minor setbacks. Nonetheless, Trudeau has significant
challenges coming, and it’s not clear he can maintain these levels of public
support,” said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and
founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
or at (416) 960-9603.