Trudeau's approval remains high

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Trudeau’s approval remains high

Supermajority in House if election held today

TORONTO December 9th, 2015 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1369 Canadian voters, close to half would vote for the Liberals if an election were held today (46%), stable from last month (November 18 - 45%), while the Conservatives would receive a third of the vote total (32%), down from last month (37%). The NDP would receive the support of just more than one tenth (13%), which is a slight improvement over last month (November 18 - 10%). Few will vote Green or Bloc Quebecois (4% each).

Election today would see supermajority in House

If these results are projected up to seats in the House of Commons, the Liberals would capture a dominating share of 224 seats, to 99 for the Conservatives, just 14 for the NDP and 1 seat for the Greens (the leader’s).

Trudeau’s approval up 6 points, Mulcair’s up 7

Close to 6-in-10 voters approve of the job Justin Trudeau is doing as Prime Minister (57%), up from one half last month (November 18 - 51%), and his net favourable rating (approve minus disapprove) is a very positive +28. Tom Mulcair has also seen his approval rate increase, from one third last month (34%) to 4-in-10 now (41%). His net score is a relatively positive +10. One half of voters don’t know enough about Rona Ambrose to rate her performance (47%), but one quarter see her in a positive light (26%) and her net score is a neutral 0.

 “The honeymoon isn’t showing any signs of ending soon, and his approval ratings are improving, not falling. And this is in the face of numerous minor setbacks. Nonetheless, Trudeau has significant challenges coming, and it’s not clear he can maintain these levels of public support,” said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) 960-9603.