Forum Poll accurately predicts riding-by-riding election outcomes

| Filed under: National

Forum Poll accurately predicts riding-by-riding election outcomes

Correct candidate picked in more than 70% of ridings, overall deviation of 6%

TORONTO, OCTOBER 28th, 2015 – During the recently completed 42nd general election, the Forum Poll™ tested public opinion in 21 key ridings in the GTA, Ontario and Alberta. In Forum’s final polls in those ridings, 15 of 21 identified the winning candidate, for a correct prediction rate of 71%. In total, the deviation from the final election results across all 21 ridings was 6%, and ranged from 1% to 10% for individual ridings.

Our accuracy in predicting results for specific candidates down to the riding level is a strong indicator of how methodologically robust our Interactive Voice Response (IVR) polling system is,” said Forum Research president Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) 960-9603.