Tight race in Scarborough Southwest

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Tight race in Scarborough Southwest

Blair no longer leads

TORONTO September 22nd, 2015 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 608 voters in the federal riding of Scarborough Southwest, there is a virtual tie between the Liberal candidate, former Toronto police chief Bill Blair (35%) and the NDP incumbent, Dan Harris (32%). The Conservative candidate, Roshan Nallaratnam, is not far behind at more than a quarter (27%). This compares to mid-April, when newly announced candidate Blair had more than 4-in-10 votes (42%), while Dan Harris had slightly more than a third (and lightly more than he has now - 34%).

“It appears the entry of a competent Conservative candidate in this race has drawn votes away from Bill Blair, while not contributing any to the incumbent. This one remains too close to call," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.