Now 10 points ahead of Doug Ford, Chow
29th, 2014 - In
a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1167 decided
and leaning Toronto voters, more than 4-in-10 will vote John Tory for mayor if
the municipal election were held today (43%) while one third will vote for Doug
Ford (33%). One fifth will vote Olivia Chow (20%) and very few will vote for
another candidate (3%).
findings stand in contrast to last week, when the two leading candidates were
closer (September 22, Tory - 38%, Ford - 31%), and Olivia Chow's vote share was
higher (September 22 - 25%).
Ford's vote is common to the youngest (38%), males (36%), in North York (46%),
Scarborough (38%) and among provincial PC voters (45%). Tory's vote is
characterized by the oldest (57%), in Etobicoke (50%) and York (57% - caution:
small base size) and among provincial PCs (53%) and Liberals (52%). Chow's vote
is characterized by the youngest (25%), in the downtown (29%) and East York
(32%) and past provincial NDP voters (31%).
Tory leads in all of the 6 former cities which make up Toronto except North
York, where Ford leads, and Scarborough, where these two candidates are tied.
"This is an improvement for
John Tory since last week, and it appears Olivia Chow's resurgence was
short-lived. However, with basically the length of an entire federal election
campaign to go before the election, it's too early to say either of the two
leaders has an insurmountable advantage," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne
Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be
reached at firstname.lastname@example.org or at (416)